Forecasting stock market index is not the author's interest, but the current crop of 3000 is unusual in terms of China's stock market, there is the need for the analysis.
3000 points for China's stock market is a very important point, because, from 6124 points down to 3000 points, just 50% of the range, according to the classic story of theory, if more than 50% fall,cheap UGG boots, to declare the end of the bull market. Therefore, 3000 is the CBBC line. hold the 3000 point, the long-term capital not invited, more than 6,000 points from the decline since the bull market can be seen as an adjustment, having a new high is just around the corner; if 3000 was not guaranteed, long-term bear market will officially begin the withdrawal of funds into more than a certain funds, the stock market will enter an eventful period, not only the financing or refinancing of listed companies more difficult, but with the stock market-related insurance, securities, banking and other financial institutions will be a major blow!
then, is China's stock market for 3000 is high or low? most people, must have thought that 3000 was low, but we do not forget a historical fact: When the first stock index climbed high of 3,000 points when the end of January 2007, followed by substantial adjustment, from the fall 3000 quick 2500 points, rose to 3000 points the second time a month later, I remember the author in 2007 on February 27 published the fell 10% limit down across the board! This does not indicate how high the level of the author of the article, the two fell within one month of the investors were feeling that 3000 is too high, the long-term funds are choosing to leave. < br> From the perspective of public opinion, 3000 is The rather high.
lot of people try to look up from a macroeconomic basis, that China's GDP increased by an average of 10%, but the stock market has more than tripled, The main reason is that the previous two years due to abnormal rise.
number of problems, but essentially the price. If the price is very low, point is not a dream, but after the fall into the Chinese economy will collapse. from this perspective, the size of the non most of the hero should be The annual pay of transaction costs (including stamp duty, commission, fund subscription and redemption fees) are still lower than the listed company's dividend income and also lower than the profits of listed companies should be assigned (corresponding to holders of tradable shares), the overall negative and game is unsustainable. It should be noted that in ten years China's stock market history,bailey UGG boots, most of the time the stock market is negative and the game, but before the stock market is very small in 2006, the funds needed is small, the market can rely on to maintain the high valuation of speculation, today's stock market has technical analysis point of view, before 2007, any point on the reference value for the stock market now is not, and now the stock market before the stock market and have been essentially different.
3000 points is a dangerous point,UGG boots clearance, as it be extremely attractive and deceptive. whether from the rate of decline in the level or from the price of view, the position seems to have charisma, this analysis has been a lot, I do not go into details. I just want to say that, from Taiwan and the Japanese stock market experience, many stock market experts are not the biggest loser from the highest point on the way down to 50%, but decreased by 50% to become gone to the stock market, coupled with the role of margin trading system, many of whom later is down the drain. Nowadays the Chinese stock market may not fully repeat the mistakes of Japan and Taiwan, but the lesson is not forgotten.
author rose to 5,Discount UGG boots,000 points in the stock market prior to full withdrawal, not after the stock market, the reason is bearing in mind the lessons of Japan and Taiwan stock market, worried about China's stock market's rapid decline. then the Taiwan stock market dropped 2,500 points from 12,000 points took only eight months, the mainland stock market than it is now more miserable, 20 years later, now or in the Taiwan stock market around 7000, was 20 years ago, half of the position. Japan's stock market is the highest year of 39,000 points, now location is about 13,000, only one-third 20 years ago.
only up to 2007 or 4000 3000, did not rise to 5,000 points or more, we would not have the current passive investors not only to keep in mind, but also regulators, policy makers need to keep in mind.
Now 3000 high, but the stock market rebound, then 2566 points certainly is not a market low, the market will continue to look at the bottom.
in the stock market is the annoying big mouth, but the author is willing to do a big mouth again. survive in the stock market is more important than making money!
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